Dr. Marios Panagiotis Efthymiopoulos
Leaders in the island, anticipate incoming challenges and threats, for which they cannot afford not negotiating and settling past dues.
There is an immediate threat coming from the east. The Daesh, a group of revolutionaries with grounds to extremism, reaction a continued and rebranded story of the lost cause of the Taliban, threatens regional stability in the eastern sides of the Mediterranean, namely the shores of the Middle East. The threat is coming from the far eastern grounds of Afghanistan and Iraq, a noending story of fighting out the Taliban now supported by former tactical operational advisors of the area, financed by those with large interests to and from the region. Extreme mercenaries come from all around the world to fight a jihadist war of no end.
These are a form of internationally paid revolutionaries, which are not solely natives but as well international criminals and former paid mercenaries. They have teamed up with the group otherwise known as ISIL. They have a reason to fight for and according to the international media their fight includes a salary bonus and allowances, not withholding vast areas of lands that they now control, one way or another, a size as big as the United Kingdom.
The questions that come about, are of both geostrategic but also geopolitical concern. These questions affect regional current and future foreign and security policy concerns.
Strategically, there is obviously a case being built. It considers the need for a strong security framework project for the area of the Southeast Mediterranean region. The threat coming with Daesh, is a good reason to unite forces, in making sure that Daesh does not reach the shores of the Mediterranean region. If they reach Damascus, then a game changer will be in order.
A new security policy framework, or otherwise refer to as an alliance against the common threat, is the sole guaranteed policy for success. Even more so when issues developing such as the Palestinian issue has largely much to do so, with the need to bring about a balance in the region. There is a need to avoid possible development of cells of supporters to Daesh as the IsraelPalestinian issues is long to be resolved otherwise.
Regional forces such as Cyprus, Greece, Israel, Lebanon, Jordan and Egypt have solid reasons why to battle Daesh out. Directly or indirectly, all countries are concerned for the existing displacement of people, the immigration flow, cultural heritage destruction, internal development of local cells of terrorists and prosecution of religious freedoms in the area, among others.
Turkey’s official government differentiates itself from religious aspects. It is on its benefit to be associated with led exteme to this day, Islamists. It nonetheless holds another strategic objective. Train Syrian revolutionaries that will eventually turn the battle against the Assad government forces once and if the Daesh is out. Keeping the Syrians down and the Kurds out of Turkey, while having welcomed more than 2 million refugees in a “green zone” area, exactly outside Turkey in between the regions of Iraq and Syria to this point.
The USA is concerned on the ongoing events in Iraq and Afghanistan. The USA’s declining power in the region, a lost war without an end, has given rise to populism and opportunistic extremism that has already reached even the shores of the US and the EU. It threatens national security stability and prosperity. The fear of the few that can damage, cannot just be anticipated on its 100% through intelligence operations against existing threats. They however, can be battle out to its source. Connectivity and association with criminal groups and other terrorist groups of Daesh with groups in Africa, such as the Boko Haram, seems to give rise to discussions on how to disturb communication effectiveness between them, for effective communication disruption, another management tool against the emerging crisis.
This is not an ending war. There is clearly a need for effective crisis management between states. We now need stability. We need tools for unification of different parties against a common and emerging threat. An Alliance of the willing is needed; battling out through diverse and multileveled methods, asymmetrical challenges. It seems that Britain and Russia have already realized this necessity and now vow support against the Daesh. These follow actions of the USA and the Gulf Cooperation Council States. Will we then see possible built ups of coalition reaction? What will Cyprus do in this case, considering the necessity to use the Island as a hub for outgoing operations?
Photo source: http://nationalinterest.org/